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oldsoldier View Drop Down
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  Quote oldsoldier Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: 12 to 1
    Posted: 28 October 2009 at 12:34pm
The report that US/NATO and Afghan Forces outnumber Taliban and Foriegn fights by 12 to 1 is tragic, since the report says nothing is being done.

Of course, the tied hands way of war of the US/NATO/Afghan in this fight and the free wheeling ways of the Taliban of course menas the Taliban have another advantage.

Imagine the Nebraska Cornhuskers going into a bowl game against the #1 rated defensive team in the nation, and Nebraska being told by the NCAA that no pass plays can be attempted, and all plays must have the approval of the NCAA before execution on the field. The other team can do whatever, whenever it wants, that is what is going on in Afghanistan.

Militarily this is turning into a set up failure, and the reasoning is beyond me.

Get the media out of there and cut the Military loose in a WW2 styled offensive and this thing is over in 3 months, but NO, we will continue to piecemeal this till as predicted by the Taliban in 2003, The "American Will" will eventually lead to our victory because America does not have the "Will" to win anymore. They learned the lessons of Vietnam quite well.

Reading and waiting for plumber to show.

Edited by oldsoldier - 28 October 2009 at 1:55pm
"Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear." George Orwell
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  Quote Glassjaw Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 1:14pm
Yeah, I'm not very educated in topics such as these (aside from watching the history / military channel religously (and I must say, the Military channel is somewhat of a joke)) but there seems to be far too much control by people who aren't even there.
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  Quote Mack Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 1:19pm
While I agree with the intent of the thread, I have to take exception to the example used:  To keep the comparison valid, the 'Huskers opponent should only be allowed one player on the field.
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  Quote oldsoldier Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 1:40pm
The intent of the comparison is the limitation and outright non-use of a offensive tactical element that is totally part of a combined arms operation. Along with the interference in the theatre command structure by individuals oand organizations totally outside of the tactical operation itself. Once a weakness is identified, relayed back to DC, hemmed and hawed upon for political consequence, and a decesion returned to the command, the tactical situation has changed and the decesion is no longer relevant to the new situation that developed in the mean time.

Even a 2hour lag in the command sequence, the tactical situation can and always does radically change in a guerilla styled limited war.
The bad guys do not stay in place waiting for an operation against them, they strike, they vanish, we search, they strike elsewhere and the sequence repeats.

US Forces alone if given a green light can end this without NATO or Afghan National Army Assistance, it is having the "will" to do so that is the challenge.

"Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear." George Orwell
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  Quote Dunbar Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 1:53pm
I say due away with the .223s and the non-expanding rounds because I know for a fact that the Taliban is using AK-47s with expanding rounds.
Confucious says: "People in glass houses should not throw bricks; they should also change clothes in the basement.
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oldsoldier View Drop Down
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  Quote oldsoldier Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 1:53pm
Example is this idiocy: http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20091028/wl_afp/unpakistanafghanistanusmissilerights

Our use of "drones" may be against international law, according to the UN, but strapping a bomb on a suicide bomber and targeting political infastructure with that form of guided weapon is OK with the current UN.

This "Nintendo War" mentality, 70 strikes 600 civilian casualities, WW2 one strategic bombing raid on Tokyo kills 50,000 civilians, or one RAF Fire Raid on Hamburg kills 50,000 civilians not a peep from the "international community", is crazy. Did the UN make these calims against the violations of International Law during Iraqs Chemical Attacks on the Kurd, The Soviet bombings in Afghanistan destroying entire villiages. NO...the UN and the despots therein only Target the US and GB in their attrocity monitoring, blind eye towards their own sponsored warlords, genocide and revolutions in Africa.

So now another effective weapon against the "heads" of the beast will be eliminated in the current administrations attempt tp ease political tension abroad and domestically with another "feel good" decesion to abide with the UN findings on our "drones".

Edited by oldsoldier - 28 October 2009 at 1:54pm
"Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear." George Orwell
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brihard View Drop Down
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  Quote brihard Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 5:58pm
Sorry OS, but you're right out to lunch on this one. In addition to a number of mistakes of reasoning, you also make assumptions that you lack the information to make, such as a perceived lack of offensive ops by the coalition.

Your first fault lies in comparing this with the war in Vietnam. Vietnam was fought against North Vietnam, another sovereign netion state with a uniformed regular army and a significant irregular force within the South. North Vietnam could be legitimately targeted with conventional military means. The North Vietnamese had a border and front line to which they would commit to defend. Both sides were wed to specific territory that must be fought over. While deep raids could be made with helicopters and long range patrols, Vietnam was in its essence a conventional symmetrical war with a significant irregular partisan participation as well.

Afghanistan is not like that. We the coalition are wed to certain pieces of ground; our strong points, FOBS, logistical hubs, and urban areas. we must defend them- stalement in those areas is an implicit defeat for us. The Taliban, Hizb-e Islami, and other illegally armed groups, however, are of and amongst the population, are highly decentralized, and are not in most cases committed to any specific piece of geography that we can identify and flatten. They learned in 2006 not to commit to defending specific areas.

Simply put, there is no prior war which is easily and properly contrasted with what we face in Afghanistan, but accurate lessons can be drawn from Algeria, Iraq 2, and many other insurgencies in the past..

The enemy has the ability to disappear into the population, making it extremely difficult to differentiate who's on what side. We cannot slaughter Afghans wholesale in the hope of getting some Taliban; that would be thoroughly illegal, immoral, and would destroy and shred of legitimacy or credibility that we hold as a foreign force.

Afghanistan is a sovereign state with a government. We must in many cases acede to the wishes of that government as a condition of our being there. We are not at war with Afghanistan, we are at war with an insurgency in Afghanistan.

You know as well as I do the necessity of locating the enemy before offensive operations can be conducted. Countless times we've gone into towns or rural areas expecting a fight, only to have the enemy melt away with little result. We leave, and they come back. We do not have the troop numbers to maintain a physical presence in most locations. Neither do the Afghan National ARmy.

You are absolutely deluded if you think the U.S. can go it alone on this one. NATO collectively lacks the troops; there's nothing magical about the U.S. army and Marine Corps that allow you to do even more work with less total numbers. You are also foolish to dismiss the value of the Afghan National Army. While they have many failings, putting an Afghan face on the counterinsurgency is another critical factor in maintaining legitimacy.

America has the capacity to end a state, or to end a government with no help, but it does NOT have the ability to end the counterinsurgency in Afghansitan. Building institutions and a functioning state is far mroe critical to our ultimate success there than any amount of destruction is. Killing fighters is a temporary success, but they're simply replaced by the next bunch of kids out of a Madrassa. Killing leaders simply leaves a vacancy, and a new guy only very slightly less experienced and proficient steps up. That's no way to win a fight. The 'gloves off' approach was already tried against the Afghan insurgency- in the 1980s. We all know how that ended.

We need to use a multifaceted approach.

First: Kill, capture or neutralize identified Taliban, Hizb-e Islami, and other illegally armed groups as we are able to identify them. Disrupt their logistical  infrastructure. This must all be n done in a way that's minimally invasive or destructive to the population.

Second: Get the locals on-side. Make them realzie the future is better for them and their community if they're with us rather than against us. This cannot be done through fear or intimidation, but only through incentive.

Third: Establish a viable Afghan central state infrastructure that has the ability to project political will and establish its own security. Establish socioeconomic infrastructure. Get the economy going. Start getting the kids educated and provide basic healthcare. Offer them something other than tenuous subsistence farming.

Fourth: Gradually hand over all current coalition responsibility to the Afghans. Slowly wean them off our support. This will take decades.

If we can do these things, the conditions will no longer be such that a sufficient number are pushed towards radicalism. The 'War on Terror' is a load of crap. One might as well fight a war against the wind. What terrorism is is an asymmetrical military tactic used by people radicalized as a result of sociological and economic processes.

We will not win in Afghanistan by destruction, but by building the nation.
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  Quote Rofl_Mao Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:08pm
Or we could put a gun to the head of a civilian who might know where the taliban is. Use counter-terror tactics the same way the taliban is using on them? Would they be more afraid of us or them?

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  Quote brihard Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:11pm
Rofl_mao- and you think we can actually know who knows what? And if the civilian doesn't tell us (whether they know anything or not), do we then summarily execute them? Without following through on the threat, such an approach would be absolutely inept. But if we DO follow through, we're as bad as what we're fighting against. Your suggestion is contemptible, and makes what's happened in Guantanamo look ike Sesame Street.

A nation deploys military forces overseas in an interventionist conflict only at great moral hazard. Our conduct must be absolutely above reproach for us to have any legitimate place there. An uncivilized enemy cannot be fought by civilized states through uncivilized means.
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  Quote Rofl_Mao Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:14pm
I'm not saying kill them.

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  Quote brihard Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:17pm
You don't point a gun at someone you don't intend to shoot if they do not comply with your instructions. 

I have pointed a rifle at people in that country with exactly that intent on several occasions. You, presumably, have not. You are, in this thread, essentially trying to second guess professionals. Don't.
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  Quote impulse!! Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:21pm
Originally posted by Rofl_Mao

I'm not saying kill them.
 
Just stop while your ahead.
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  Quote agentwhale007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:27pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier


Get the media out of there


Why is this a crucial step in winning?
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  Quote brihard Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:28pm
Originally posted by agentwhale007

Originally posted by oldsoldier


Get the media out of there


Why is this a crucial step in winning?

It's actually a terrible idea. Transparency to some degree is critical- if it can be seen that we're doing a good job, and doing it according to our society's values, we'll receive the support we need. If, conversely, it's shown that we've acted improperly, media attention will galvanize military leadership to make necessary changes. This has happened several times. The government is far more receptive to the opinions of voters than the opinions of local Afghans.
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  Quote agentwhale007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 6:39pm
Originally posted by brihard

Originally posted by agentwhale007

Originally posted by oldsoldier


Get the media out of there


Why is this a crucial step in winning?

It's actually a terrible idea. Transparency to some degree is critical- if it can be seen that we're doing a good job, and doing it according to our society's values, we'll receive the support we need. If, conversely, it's shown that we've acted improperly, media attention will galvanize military leadership to make necessary changes. This has happened several times. The government is far more receptive to the opinions of voters than the opinions of local Afghans.


Generally I take "Kick the media out!" as disguised language meaning "Let the military run rampant!"
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  Quote ParielIsBack Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 8:30pm
Originally posted by agentwhale007

Originally posted by brihard

Originally posted by agentwhale007

Originally posted by oldsoldier


Get the media out of there


Why is this a crucial step in winning?

It's actually a terrible idea. Transparency to some degree is critical- if it can be seen that we're doing a good job, and doing it according to our society's values, we'll receive the support we need. If, conversely, it's shown that we've acted improperly, media attention will galvanize military leadership to make necessary changes. This has happened several times. The government is far more receptive to the opinions of voters than the opinions of local Afghans.


Generally I take "Kick the media out!" as disguised language meaning "Let the military run rampant!"


Particular care will be made with making sure we pave over the entire country, once everyone is dead.

Don't want to waste asphalt.
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  Quote Rofl_Mao Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 10:55pm
Originally posted by brihard

You are, in this thread, essentially trying to second guess professionals. Don't.


No, I'm just asking if it would work and I got my answer. Thanks. Smile

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  Quote oldsoldier Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 11:13pm
Bri hate to burst the bubble: Vietnam- Fought against Viet Cong (Communist South Vietnamese, who also blended quite well into the population, after a firefight outside so no name ville in the highlands by the time we got to the ville no-one knew of any VC, and the same individual taht was shooting at you an hour ago was smiling under his doa as he led his water buffalo along the paddy dikes further camoflaging the just a few minute ago buried weapons cache, BTDT). We controled the urban areas, Strategic Firebases, Logistic Bases, and major Support Bases along the major arterials (highways) Uncle Charlie owned the rest, along with his North Vietnamese Allies. Afghanistan is simular in operational planning, now the tactical operations have changed based on technology available, but the problem I expierienced in 1970, and the troops today expierience on the "who is who" game, and "who controls what" has not changed.

Whale: The correspondant is no longer Ernie Pyle, more than not he sits safely in a "security zone" and then gets his reports and photos by locally hired individuals with dubious credentials, and writes them up as they are presented to him. Like the news reporter that filmed the marinne shooting the "g" with his hands still underhim, and refusing to pull them out, the reporter called it an unjust shooting, OK, next time let him show us how to make it safe for the squad to secure the situation. "Tried by 6, or carried by 6" is a poor choice.
These experts usually with no formal training in operational or tactical situations telling the group he is in how to fight to "G" is lunacy. Why do you think the majority of the news types hide in the "green zone".
"Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear." George Orwell
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  Quote Frozen Balls Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 11:14pm
That would have been a good analogy if it was 1995 and Nebraska was relevant.

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  Quote slackerr26 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 October 2009 at 11:31pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier

Bri hate to burst the bubble: Vietnam- Fought against Viet Cong (Communist South Vietnamese, who also blended quite well into the population, after a firefight outside so no name ville in the highlands by the time we got to the ville no-one knew of any VC, and the same individual taht was shooting at you an hour ago was smiling under his doa as he led his water buffalo along the paddy dikes further camoflaging the just a few minute ago buried weapons cache, BTDT). We controled the urban areas, Strategic Firebases, Logistic Bases, and major Support Bases along the major arterials (highways) Uncle Charlie owned the rest, along with his North Vietnamese Allies. Afghanistan is simular in operational planning, now the tactical operations have changed based on technology available, but the problem I expierienced in 1970, and the troops today expierience on the "who is who" game, and "who controls what" has not changed.

Whale: The correspondant is no longer Ernie Pyle, more than not he sits safely in a "security zone" and then gets his reports and photos by locally hired individuals with dubious credentials, and writes them up as they are presented to him. Like the news reporter that filmed the marinne shooting the "g" with his hands still underhim, and refusing to pull them out, the reporter called it an unjust shooting, OK, next time let him show us how to make it safe for the squad to secure the situation. "Tried by 6, or carried by 6" is a poor choice.
These experts usually with no formal training in operational or tactical situations telling the group he is in how to fight to "G" is lunacy. Why do you think the majority of the news types hide in the "green zone".
 
first part of bris post... afghanistan=/= vietnam


You have nothing, nothing to threaten me with. Nothing to do with all your strength.
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